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Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM LENS)

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Numerical Simulation (LENS) dataset includes a 40-member ensemble of climate simulations for the period 1920-2100 using historical data (1920-2005) or assuming the RCP8.5 greenhouse gas concentration scenario (2006-2100), as well as longer control runs based on pre-industrial conditions. The data comprise both surface (2D) and volumetric (3D) variables in the atmosphere, ocean, land, and ice domains. The total data volume of the original dat

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Source details

Licence: https://www.ucar.edu/terms-of-use/data

Evidence quality: 40.1

Listed in aws-odr public catalogue API on 2026-10-16; relevance/value screened (haiku).

Metadata checked: 2026-10-14T13:20:00.000Z

What's in it

Data offered docs-verified
40-member climate ensemble simulations (1920-2100) · 2D and 3D atmosphere, ocean, land and ice variables · pre-industrial control runs
Coverage llm-inferred
Global · 1920-2100
Resolution docs-verified
Temporal: monthly, daily, 6-hourly; spatial resolution not stated
Update frequency docs-verified
Rare (experiment complete; occasional additional fields or fixes)
Formats docs-verified
Zarr
Access docs-verified
Public anonymous S3 access, no AWS account required (us-west-2); licence: https://www.ucar.edu/terms-of-use/data

Useful for

Use cases llm-inferred
Ensemble-based climate change context for drainage or flood risk sensitivity studies · Internal-variability envelope for climate projections in FRA or water resources assessments · Temperature and precipitation trend baselines for environmental impact assessments
Audience llm-inferred
hydrologists · flood risk consultants · drainage engineers · climate scientists · GIS analysts

Limitations

Constraints llm-inferred
Only a subset (~70 TB) of the ~500 TB original dataset is on AWS · Scenario coverage limited to historical plus RCP8.5 (2006-2100) · Global model output, not UK-specific · Updates are rare; experiment is complete · Requires Zarr and Python Xarray tooling · Large volumes; analysis needs cloud or high-capacity compute

Evidence

Check upstream coverage, uncertainty and licence before use. Station observations are not forecasts or design levels.