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dataset · England

Rivers and Sea defended and undefended flood risk extents - climate change

These datasets show the extent of land at risk of flooding to a defined annual exceedance probability (AEP) or chance of flooding each year, taking into account the possible effects of climate change (detailed below). These datasets include the following scenarios: ● Undefended: 0.1% AEP (1 in 1000) Rivers/Sea ● Undefended: 1% AEP (1 in 100) Rivers/ 0.5% AEP (1 in 200) Sea ● Defended: 0.1% AEP (1 in 1000) Rivers/Sea ● Defended: 1% AEP (1 in 100) Rivers/ 0.5% AEP (1 in 200) Sea The undefended pro

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Source details

Licence: ["There are no public access constraints to this data. Use of this data is subject to the licence identified.", "There are no public access constraints to this data. Use of this data is subject to the

Evidence quality: 55.7

Listed in data.gov.uk public catalogue API on 2026-10-16; relevance/value screened (haiku).

Metadata checked: 2026-10-14T13:20:00.000Z

What's in it

Data offered docs-verified
flood extent (rivers and sea), undefended: 0.1% AEP (1 in 1000); 1% AEP (1 in 100) rivers / 0.5% AEP (1 in 200) sea · flood extent (rivers and sea), defended: 0.1% AEP (1 in 1000); 1% AEP (1 in 100) rivers / 0.5% AEP (1 in 200) sea · climate change flood extents: rivers 'Central' allowance for 2080s; sea 'Upper End' allowance with sea level rise to 2125
Coverage docs-verified
Bounding box: latitude 49.943 to 55.816, longitude -6.236 to 2.072 (EPSG:27700 dataset) · 2080s epoch (2070-2125) for rivers; sea level rise to 2125
Update frequency docs-verified
as needed (no fixed schedule)
Formats docs-verified
OGC API - Features · WMS · WFS · File geodatabase (ZIP) · ArcGIS layer files (.lyr) · PDF (product description)
Access docs-verified
Open, no authentication; no public access constraints; licence: Open Government Licence v3.0

Useful for

Use cases llm-inferred
Fluvial and coastal flood zone screening for FRA climate change sensitivity tests · Site flood risk screening against 1 in 100 and 1 in 200 climate-adjusted extents · Indicative flood constraints mapping for drainage and SuDS strategy (not property-level)
Audience llm-inferred
flood consultants · hydrologists · drainage engineers · GIS analysts · planners

Limitations

Constraints docs-verified
Indicative only; not suitable for showing whether an individual property is at risk of flooding · No flood depth, speed or volume of flow information · Defended products assume defences work as designed; no asset failure or removal scenarios · Climate change scenarios assume existing defences function as at present; no future design or operation changes · Climate projections based on UKCP18 with RCP 8.5

Evidence

Check upstream coverage, uncertainty and licence before use. Station observations are not forecasts or design levels.